Cookies
Alert: DNCA Finance identity theft. DNCA Finance, an affiliate of Natixis Investment Managers, draws the public's attention to the impersonation of DNCA Finance by various individuals or companies based abroad, including a company presenting itself as a financial services company called "Influx Finance". These individuals and companies fraudulently refer to the name of DNCA Finance or DNCA Investments in their dealings with individuals to recommend investments of various kinds (bitcoin, gold, shares, etc.).
DNCA Invest Alpha Bonds
International Multi-strategies Bonds
Art.8
Uncertainty remains the order of the day in February, as markets continue to hang on the Trump administration's announcements and decisions. Hope on the one hand, as a glimpse of the road to peace in Europe appears to be taking shape; and concern on the other, with the threat of trade barriers still looming over America's historic trading partners and allies.

It is in this climate of volatility that, for the first time, American exceptionalism is showing signs of fragility. So far, nothing material, but the gradual deterioration of confidence indicators in February is intriguing. This concern is also weighing on households, both through a job market that continues to normalize and through consumption that is surprisingly down. In Germany, the victory of the CDU/CSU is raising hopes of fiscal stimulus and could lead to an improvement in the economic outlook for the Old Continent.

Once again, February showed us that the disinflation process could surprise us and that the road to 2% would be a long one. In the short term, however, inflation should gradually fade into the background and converge towards the central banks' target, aided as ever by falling commodity prices.

The highlight of February was the decline in monetary expectations in the United States. Markets are now expecting three rate cuts from the Fed, two more than at the end of January. In Europe, the downward cycle seems clearer, but it's hard to imagine the European Central Bank dropping below its current expectations (1.8% by the end of 2025).

The tax issue remains at the heart of the debate. In the developed world, only Germany can afford more spending and debt. This will be a priority for the newly elected government. In the rest of the G10, the question of sobriety seems to be taking precedence, while governments do not yet seem able to find ways of encouraging growth without additional debt.

In management, the improvement in valuations prompted us to take profits on our short position in French interest rates and to increase the portfolio's sensitivity. The good performance of US rates relative to their European counterparts made a positive contribution to the strategy's performance in February. We start March with an interest-rate sensitivity up 0.6 to 3.3. The risk budget remains unchanged (1.79% volatility). Finally, on the currency front, we continued to strengthen our long yen position, mainly against the Swiss franc.
Footnotes

*The inception date of the Fund is 2017-12-14