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DNCA Invest Flex Inflation
International Inflation Linked Bonds
Art.8
April was marked by a deterioration in global economic sentiment, dominated by an upsurge in trade tensions initiated by the Trump administration. In the United States, Q1 growth contracted (-0.3% QoQ annualized), due to the strong negative contribution of foreign trade, despite a resilient consumer that limits the risk of a sharp recession. Despite the rapid deterioration in confidence indicators, the job market remains robust and inflation continues its slow decline. In the absence of a clear deterioration in labor data, the Fed is unlikely to be in a position to initiate another rate cut soon, while inflationary risks generated by customs barriers and immigration threaten a resumption of price rises by the end of the summer.

In Europe, growth remains modest but positive (+1.2% annualized in Q1) and inflation is stabilizing around the ECB's target. After the euphoria that followed the announcement of the German stimulus plan, the reality of the impact and timeframe of this spending, coupled with expectations of a global slowdown, are still leading the ECB to continue its monetary easing cycle. The rising euro and falling oil prices are powerful factors for a downward revision of inflation in 2026. Under these conditions, the way is wide open for further cuts over the coming months, leading to an accommodating monetary policy (Ester below 2%).

Fiscal concerns continue to loom large in the USA as we await the budget talks starting in July, and while they seem to have taken a back seat in some Eurozone countries, they are likely to resurface in the second half of the year.

This volatile macroeconomic context led us to adjust our portfolio allocation.

First of all, the risk-off episode that followed Liberation Day, accompanied by a lack of confidence in US assets, led us to reinforce our long position on US and European real rates at levels incompatible with economic growth momentum.

We also reduced our hedge on European inflation-indexed bonds, reducing our exposure to break-even inflation rates in favor of a long exposure to eurozone real rates.
Footnotes

*The inception date of the Fund is 2017-12-13

Pascal Gilbert
Pascal Gilbert began his career in 1987 at Banque Fédérative du Crédit Mutuel as a prop trader. In 1998 Pascal joined Banque de Financement et de Trésorerie where as Head of Eurozone bond portfolio management. He then joined La Française in 2001 as Head of bond funds, he was in charge of a team of seven and he managed more than €15bn, including the Multistratégies Obligataires Fund which was rated 5 stars by Morningstar. He was ranked AAA by Citywire.

In September 2017, Pascal Gilbert joined DNCA Finance.
Pascal Gilbert
Pascal Gilbert began his career in 1987 at Banque Fédérative du Crédit Mutuel as a prop trader. In 1998 Pascal joined Banque de Financement et de Trésorerie where as Head of Eurozone bond portfolio management. He then joined La Française in 2001 as Head of bond funds, he was in charge of a team of seven and he managed more than €15bn, including the Multistratégies Obligataires Fund which was rated 5 stars by Morningstar. He was ranked AAA by Citywire.

In September 2017, Pascal Gilbert joined DNCA Finance.
Pascal Gilbert
Pascal Gilbert began his career in 1987 at Banque Fédérative du Crédit Mutuel as a prop trader. In 1998 Pascal joined Banque de Financement et de Trésorerie where as Head of Eurozone bond portfolio management. He then joined La Française in 2001 as Head of bond funds, he was in charge of a team of seven and he managed more than €15bn, including the Multistratégies Obligataires Fund which was rated 5 stars by Morningstar. He was ranked AAA by Citywire.

In September 2017, Pascal Gilbert joined DNCA Finance.
Pascal Gilbert
Pascal Gilbert began his career in 1987 at Banque Fédérative du Crédit Mutuel as a prop trader. In 1998 Pascal joined Banque de Financement et de Trésorerie where as Head of Eurozone bond portfolio management. He then joined La Française in 2001 as Head of bond funds, he was in charge of a team of seven and he managed more than €15bn, including the Multistratégies Obligataires Fund which was rated 5 stars by Morningstar. He was ranked AAA by Citywire.

In September 2017, Pascal Gilbert joined DNCA Finance.
Pascal Gilbert
Pascal Gilbert began his career in 1987 at Banque Fédérative du Crédit Mutuel as a prop trader. In 1998 Pascal joined Banque de Financement et de Trésorerie where as Head of Eurozone bond portfolio management. He then joined La Française in 2001 as Head of bond funds, he was in charge of a team of seven and he managed more than €15bn, including the Multistratégies Obligataires Fund which was rated 5 stars by Morningstar. He was ranked AAA by Citywire.

In September 2017, Pascal Gilbert joined DNCA Finance.
Pascal Gilbert
Pascal Gilbert began his career in 1987 at Banque Fédérative du Crédit Mutuel as a prop trader. In 1998 Pascal joined Banque de Financement et de Trésorerie where as Head of Eurozone bond portfolio management. He then joined La Française in 2001 as Head of bond funds, he was in charge of a team of seven and he managed more than €15bn, including the Multistratégies Obligataires Fund which was rated 5 stars by Morningstar. He was ranked AAA by Citywire.

In September 2017, Pascal Gilbert joined DNCA Finance.